CSIS Follow

A trusted bipartisan policy source. CSIS is ranked the world’s #1 International Security Think Tank by the University of Pennsylvania.


27,559 Followers  1 Follow

Share Share Share

A new CSIS Beyond Parallel report examines the inter-Korean and Korea-Eurasian railway connections. North and South Korea are moving forward with inter-Korean railway cooperation as a key engine for advancing inter-Korean reconciliation and building the infrastructure for eventual unification. A possible inter-Korean ceremony for railways in the near future would mark a significant diplomatic and geopolitical accomplishment, but the poor maintenance and outdated technology of existing North Korean railways and other factors present challenges for commercially viable cooperation. Read the groundbreaking report by clicking the link in our bio.
Before voting to leave the European Union, the United Kingdom was the fastest growing economy of the
 G7 countries. Now, it’s the slowest. What created the uneasy relationship between the UK and the EU? Will Theresa May be able to carry an unpopular Brexit deal across the finish line? Heather Conley of the CSIS Europe Program explains in a new "What's Happening"
 video. Click the link in our bio to watch.
The Trade Guys breakdown the latest from the G20. President Trump and Xi Jinping settled on a 90-day trade truce. But will the temporary ceasefire last? The Guys also analyze the president's moves on the USMCA, what's next for the agreement, and how Congress might react.

This graphic illustrates whether a Chinese auto tariff reduction would impact U.S. exports. President Trump claimed China agreed to drop its 40% tariff on U.S. car imports, but U.S. car exports won't significantly impact the $375 billion trade deficit the U.S. had with China in 2017.

Check out the Trade Guys podcast and interactive website by clicking the link in our bio.
The alliance between the United States and Japan has been a force for peace and prosperity around the world for nearly 60 years. A new CSIS report explores how the United States and Japan can strengthen their economic alliance and influence in the Indo-Pacific by looking at several case studies, including trilateral opportunities in Myanmar, Vietnam, India, and South Korea. To read the report, click the link in our bio.
Nigeria will hold its presidential and National Assembly elections on February 16, 2019. A steadfast U.S. ally and Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria is on track to have a population of 441 million by 2050. CSIS’s Africa Program Director, Judd Devermont, argues that, due to the fragility of Nigeria’s democracy, the United States must pay closer attention to this important election. Nigeria is struggling to defeat Boko Haram and ISIS-West Africa, and its political parties are increasingly displaying anti-democratic behavior. To learn more about Nigeria’s upcoming elections, visit csis.org.
On December 1, Presidents Trump and Xi met at the G20 Summit to discuss the growing trade tensions between the U.S. and China. President Trump agreed not to boost tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods from 10% to 25%, and President Xi promised to purchase “a very substantial amount” of American products to remedy China’s trade surplus with the U.S. While the talks were limited in specific agreements, it has set the stage for another high-level negotiation in 90 days. To learn more about the U.S.-China trade talks at the G20, click the link in our bio.
Despite hard-fought victories to retake Islamic State territory, there are 3 signs that Islamic State militants are regrouping, taking advantage of ongoing instability, and refocusing their campaign against the Iraqi government. 
1. Though the total number of Islamic State attacks across Iraq has decreased, attacks against government targets have increased from 2017 to 2018. Attacks have also more than doubled in Kirkuk province from 2017 to 2018. 
2. The Iraqi government has not addressed risk factors that contribute to instability,including the cost of reconstruction, economic stagnation, corruption, and ungoverned spaces in disputed regions across the country. 
3. Meanwhile, Iranian-backed Shia militias continue to exacerbate Shia-Sunni tensions in Iraq, and their connection to Iran poses a useful recruiting tool for a sectarian-fueled Islamic State insurgency. 
To learn more about the persistent threat of extremism in Iraq, click the link in our bio.
Syria's Idlib Province encapsulates the brutal intricacies of the Syrian Civil War. What makes it so complex? Since Russia and Turkey brokered a ceasefire in Idlib, little has been done to stymie further instability in the province or Syria as a whole. 70,000 militants still reside in Idlib, a massive humanitarian crisis still rages across Syria, and outside military actors continue to rattle the already shaky ceasefire agreement. To learn more about What's Happening in Idlib, click the link in our bio.
According to a new report from CSIS's Transnational Threats Project, commercial technologies could provide Salafi-jihadists with new opportunities to improve their operations and tactics. Salafi-jihadists are already utilizing social media, encrypted communications, drones and cryptocurrencies. In the near future, terrorist networks could acquire offensive cyber-capabilities, and even the potential to produce WMDs. To learn more, click the link in our bio.
CSIS's Diversity and Leadership in International Affairs Project asked several experts what they think is the most effective way to achieve better diversity and inclusion in national security and foreign affairs. The Project’s Expert Spotlight series highlights leaders who bring diverse voices and valuable perspectives to the policy sphere. Follow them @CSISDiversity on Twitter, and use #DiversitySpotlight to join the conversation. To learn more about CSIS's efforts to foster diversity and inclusion, click the link in our bio.
Despite the Islamic State’s loss of territory in Iraq and Syria, the Salafi-jihadist movement is far from defeated. The estimated number of fighters in 2018 is 270% greater than when the 9/11 attacks occurred. Modern Salafi-jihadists are increasingly decentralized among four groups: The Islamic State, al-Qaeda and its affiliates, other Salafi-jihadist and allied groups, and inspired networks and individuals. Additionally, the rapid development of commercial technology – drones, social media, services, AI, encrypted communications, virtual currencies, the Dark Web, offensive cyber capabilities, and WMDs - will likely provide future opportunities for Salafi-jihadists groups. As Washington turns its priorities to great power threats like Russia and China, Salafi-jihadist groups might take advantage of any U.S. declaration of victory or withdrawal. To learn more about the modern Salafi-jihadi movement, click the link in our bio.
CSIS’s Aerospace and Security Program has identified three charter options exist for Space Force: A Space Corps, Space Force Lite, and Space Force Heavy. The least costly option – creating a Space Corps within the Department of the Air Force – would likely be stationed at 9 U.S. military bases. Space Force Lite would likely need over 33,000 personnel stationed at 12 different military bases. The largest option, Space Force Heavy, would require 45,000 personnel at 15 different bases across the country. Because 96% of Space Force’s funding would be allocated from existing budgets, the endeavor would cost between $1.5 to $2.7 billion over the next 5 years. To learn more about the costs of a U.S. Space Force, click the link in our bio.